Browns Playoff Chances June 2023: Tracking the Browns Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Wes Roesch
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Key Takeaways:

  • The Browns' playoff chances are 51.2%, so they are expected to make the postseason.
  • The Browns have a 21.7% chance of winning the AFC North, the 2nd lowest odds in the division.
  • Based on the latest odds, Cleveland has a 3.4% chance of winning the Super Bowl in 2024.

The Browns have been in the basement of the NFL for the last two decades, but could this be the year the Browns make some noise? Quarterback Deshaun Watson will play the entire season for the first time since 2020, and quite frankly, he may be the most talented quarterback the franchise has had since the turn of the century. While winning the Super Bowl is probably a tall task, the Browns have the makings of a playoff team in 2023. 

Based on the current odds, the Browns have a 51.2% chance of making the playoffs. Playoff odds are dynamic and depend on a variety of factors, so I will be tracking the Browns' playoff chances daily to keep you up to date with the Browns playoff chances, odds of winnings the AFC North, odds of winning the AFC, and odds of winning the Super Bowl.

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What are the Browns Playoff Chances?

Cleveland was not overly active in free agency, and they lack draft picks, but the Browns currently have a 51.2% chance of making the playoffs. The table below shows the Brownsโ€™ chances to make the playoffs, win the AFC, win the Super Bowl, and some more data for context.

โญ Browns Playoff Chances51.2% Chance
โ›” Browns Miss Playoffs48.8% Chance
๐Ÿ‘‘ Browns Win Super Bowl2.4% Chance
๐Ÿ† Browns Win AFC5.6% Chance
๐Ÿ”ฅ Browns Win AFC North21.7% Chance
๐Ÿ—ฝ New York Times Postseason SimulatorNot Available Yet
๐Ÿˆ ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)0.2 FPI
โœ… Data Last Verified by ExpertJune 2, 2023

In order to calculate the Brownsโ€™ chances of making the playoffs, I converted the odds from DraftKings Sportsbook into an implied probability. Every team currently has odds attached to them to make and miss the playoffs, and those odds are equivalent to an implied probability. The Browns have -105 odds of making the playoffs, which is an implied probability of 51.2%.

To determine the Brownsโ€™ chances of missing the playoffs, subtract 51.2% from 100%. As you can see, the Browns are expected to make the playoffs, but barely. Cleveland has a 21.7% chance of winning the AFC North, the 2nd lowest of the four teams. Lastly, Cleveland has a slight 2.4% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Odds makers expect the Browns to make the postseason but not make any noise when they get there.

Adding other relevant factors to the equation besides implied probabilities stemming from oddsmakers is important. In order to add more context, I am using ESPNโ€™s Football Power Index (FPI) to track how a team is performing, as well as the New York Times Postseason Simulator

For a deeper look into the Browns Super Bowl odds and history, I have a separate page detailing the team's current and historical Super Bowl odds.

Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates June 2023

To keep Browns fans updated this offseason, I am tracking breaking news and developments impacting the team's playoff chances. You can find recent news below.

  • ๐Ÿ“† April 17: The Browns signed offensive guard Wes Martin to bolster their interior offensive line.
  • ๐Ÿ“† March 23: The Browns traded for third-year receiver Elijah Moore.
  • ๐Ÿ“† March 17: Cleveland signs free-agent safety Juan Thornhill to help their pass defense.
  • ๐Ÿ“† March 16: The Browns signed defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson to a four-year, $57 million contract to improve their struggling run defense.
  • ๐Ÿ“† March 15: The Browns cut struggling pass rusher and former No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney, and cut starting safety John Johnson after underwhelming play.
  • ๐Ÿ“† February 27: The Browns promoted offensive quality control coach Ashton Grant to offensive assistant and quarterbacks coach, and promoted senior offensive assistant Kevin Rogers to senior assistant/special projects.
  • ๐Ÿ“† February 21: Cleveland fired special teams coordinator Mike Priefer.

Where Can I Bet on the Cleveland Browns to Make the Playoffs?

You can currently bet on the Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs at sportsbooks like DraftKings Ohio, as well as any other sportsbook that is currently legally operational in the great state of Ohio.

You can also bet on the Browns to miss the playoffs if you do not think the Browns are as good as advertised. All of Ohio could be betting on the Browns to make the playoffs, so all legal sportsbooks in Ohio are expected to offer these lines. I will update you as these other books begin to post those lines. 

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Looking Ahead: Browns Playoff Picture

In order for the Browns to reach their full potential, they need to improve on defense. Yes, they need better play from quarterback Deshaun Watson, but their defense was atrocious last season. The Browns made some moves to add some players on defense, which I liked, but this unit needs to play at a higher level.

If Watson can return to his 2020 form, and the Browns' defense can step up, it is certainly possible that the Browns will win 10+ games and make the playoffs. As it stands now, the Browns are expected to make the playoffs, so it is just a matter of if they live up to those lofty expectations.

Do the Browns Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Browns have a chance to make the playoffs. As a matter of fact, all 32 NFL teams have a chance to make the playoffs because the 2023 NFL season has not kicked off yet. With that being said, at the moment, the Browns are expected to make the playoffs.

The Browns do not have a first or second-round draft pick to improve their team in the 2023 NFL Draft, but they did a good job in free agency. Before Deshaun Watson missed a full season and a half, he was an MVP-caliber player, so there is certainly warranted optimism for Browns fans.

The Browns are in a tough division in the AFC North, but there is no reason to believe they cannot win it. The Browns have done well against the Bengals in years past, the Ravens do not know who will be their quarterback, and the Steelers are coming off a down year. It is very possible the Browns have the second best QB in the division heading into Week 1.

Are the Browns Out of Playoffs?

No, the Cleveland Browns are not out of the playoffs. The season has not even begun yet, how could any team be out?! With that being said, based on the current odds, the Browns are expected to make the playoffs. However, their current playoff chances are just 51.2%, meaning there is still a 48.8% chance the Browns will not make the playoffs. These odds are dynamic and will change as we and oddsmakers are exposed to more information.

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Cleveland Browns Playoffs FAQs


Eric Pauly is a betting analyst with He has used more betting apps than most people could name and has become a trusted source in the online sports betting industry.Eric's expert reviews of the top Ohio sportsbooks are as valuable as they come. He breaks down everything bettors need to know, from the top Ohio sportsbook promo codes to legislative updates in OH.

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