History was made Sunday as President Joe Biden formally announced he would not run for a second term. In becoming the first incumbent eligible in 56 years to eschew re-election, he threw his support behind Vice President Kamala Harris for the November election against Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump.
With Harris now the likely Democratic nominee – barring a challenge at next month’s party convention in Chicago – the 2024 U.S. presidential election odds have been adjusted once again. Trump, fresh off accepting the Republican nomination at last week’s GOP Convention in Milwaukee, remains the clear favorite, but his odds have lengthened a little, while Harris’ have now shortened in wake of Biden’s decision.
Trump’s odds to win the election for the second time in eight years are now -200, which equals an implied probability of 66.7%. Those odds are set by bet365 but not available at bet365 Ohio Sportsbook. While bet365 has an Ohio sports betting license, political wagering, a popular market in Europe and Canada, is prohibited in any American state.
Latest Donald Trump 2024 Odds To Be President
Former President Donald Trump lost the last election by more than seven million votes but has refused to step away from frontline politics. Instead, his desire to return to the White House has never been stronger – when comparing the latest Democratic nominee odds with Trump's odds, they suggest he is on course for victory.
| ⭐ Donald Trump | -200 (66.7% chance) |
| Kamala Harris | +200 (33.3% chance) |
| Michelle Obama | +1400 (6.7% chance) |
| Hillary Clinton | +3300 (2.9% chance) |
| Gavin Newsom | +5000 (2% chance) |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +5000 (2% chance) |
| Robert Kennedy Jr. | +5000 (2% chance) |
| ✅ Last Verified | July 26, 2024 |
Trump’s odds lengthened slightly from the -225 odds he had last week during the Republican convention. Harris’ shortened slightly after Biden dropped out. Other candidates saw their odds shorten as well, but they remain substantial long shots in the race.
Who Donald Trump Would Likely Be Running Against
Trump’s opponent will now likely be Harris, although there remains a chance the vice president will face a challenge at or before the Democratic National Convention next month in Chicago.
Latest Trump VP Odds: July 2024
The search is over. Hours before Trump first appeared at the Republican convention, he announced on social media that Ohio U.S. Sen J.D. Vance would be his vice presidential candidate.
Vance had been a strong favorite in recent weeks, with near even-money odds prior to Trump’s decision. Delegates at the convention officially added Vance to the ticket. He is the venture capitalist who rose to fame in 2016 after writing Hillbilly Elegy, a New York Times best-selling memoir about his family life. He then parlayed the book’s success into winning a U.S. Senate seat two years ago.
Others who had been considered for the position included North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, a retired neurosurgeon and former Trump HUD Secretary Ben Carson, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin and South Carolina U.S. Sen. Tim Scott.
Below are the last bet365 odds for Trump's VP before he confirmed Vance.
| J.D. Vance | +110 (48%) |
| Doug Burgum | +250 (29% Chance) |
| Marco Rubio | +700 (12.5% Chance) |
| Ben Carson | +900 (10% Chance) |
| Glenn Youngkin | +1600 (6% Chance) |
| Tim Scott | +1800 (5.3% Chance) |
| ✅ Last Verified | July 26, 2024 |
Key Developments for Donald Trump Odds To Be President
The question "will Trump run in 2024?" was asked as soon as he disputed the 2020 result. While there is no evidence that election was "stolen" from him as he claims, Trump didn't immediately announce he would run again.
Here are the key developments of Trump's 2024 presidential campaign and the odds:
- 📅 July 2024 – Biden officially drops out of the race and throws his support behind Harris to be the Democratic nominee
- 📅 July 2024 - Trump picks first-term U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance from Ohio to be his running mate.
- 📅 June 2024 - After their first debate, Trump's odds shorten, while President Biden faces hard questions about his performance.
- 📅 May 2024 - A New York jury convicts Trump of 34 felony counts tied to a plan to influence the 2016 election.
- 📅 May 2024 - Trump and Biden agree to two CNN debates, with the first on June 27.
- 📅 March 2024 – The U.S. Supreme Court reverses Colorado’s December decision that Trump is disqualified from running for president.
- 📅 January 2024 – Ron DeSantis drops out of the race and endorses Donald Trump.
- 📅 January 2024 – Trump wins the Iowa Caucus; Vivek Ramaswamy drop out and endorses Trump.
- 📅 January 2024 – Trump appears in DC in front of an appeals court regarding one of his federal criminal charges.
- 📅 September 2023 – A second Republican debate took place on Sept 27, and though Trump again sat out, he overtook Joe Biden as the betting favorite for the 2024 presidential election.
- 📅 August 2023 – A Republican debate took place on August 23. All major candidates took place in the debate aside from Trump, who elected to sit out.
- 📅 July 2023 – DeSantis' odds continue to slide as polls indicate the GOP will pick Trump to take on Biden in 2024. Thirteen major candidates have so far declared their intention to run in the primaries. Trump is polling at 50% and his election odds fall to +200.
- 📅 May 2023 – Trump's presidential odds fall to +350 despite being found liable for the sexual abuse of writer E. Jean Carroll.
- 📅 April 2023 – Biden announces his election campaign with a glossy video on social media, but his odds barely move. Trump, meanwhile, is indicted and appears in a NY courtroom. His odds on winning the GOP nomination fall to -128.
- 📅 December 2022 – The Jan. 6 committee recommends criminal prosecution against Trump on four counts. His odds widen to +700 as DeSantis overtakes him.
- 📅 November 2022 – Trump appears unstoppable heading into the midterms and his re-election odds overtake Biden at +200. But a disappointing night for the Republicans sees his price rebound to +450 within hours.
- 📅 August 2022 – Trump's pick for Wyoming in the upcoming midterms, Harriet Hageman, beats Trump critic Liz Cheney in a show of his grip on the GOP. Bookmakers cut his odds of +275.
- 📅 February 2022 – News emerges that a number of documents Trump had been keeping at his Mar-a-Lago home were marked classified. The Justice Department eventually opens an investigation but Trump's odds remain around +300.
- 📅 December 2021 – Biden announces he will seek a second term if Trump runs again. Trump's odds fall to +300.
- 📅 May 2021 – Trump begins work getting his picks for the 2022 midterms into position, while continuing to argue the last election was stolen from him. A poll finds 63% of Republicans think he's right. His odds return to +700.
- 📅 January 2021 – The Trump re-election odds spiral to +2000 following the Jan. 6 insurrection.
- 📅 December 2020 – Ohio betting sites price Trump as the +600 second favorite behind recent victor Biden to win the 2024 U.S. election.
Is Donald Trump Running for President in 2024?
Yes. Donald Trump is running for president in 2024 and according to the Republican nominee odds, betting sites think he has a 66.7% chance of winning.
Can Trump Win Presidency in 2024?
Trump can definitely win the presidency in 2024 if the polls and latest politics lines are anything to go by. The Trump election odds sit at -200, which carries an implied probability of 66.7%. While Trump has secured his Republican base, the likely candidacy of Harris, who turns 60 in October, may appeal to moderates and those who yearned who a candidate younger than either the 81-year-old Biden or the 78-year-old Trump.
What Are Donald Trump's Chances To Be President in 2024 or 2028?
When assessing the Trump odds, 2024 is a much more realistic date for him to become president than 2028. bet365 currently prices Trump at -200 to win in 2024. Were he to lose that election, it's unlikely he would run again as an 82-year-old in 2028.
What the Sportsbooks Have Trump Presidential Odds At
As of July 22, bet365 has Trump's presidential odds at -200, ahead of Harris at +200. bet365 is one of the biggest online sportsbooks in the world and has a license in several American states, including Ohio. However, U.S. bettors cannot legally wager on politics, and these political odds are pulled from bet365's UK site, not bet365 Ohio.
Trump has had plenty of rivals for the Oval Office, with Ron DeSantis initially viewed as his biggest adversary. The Florida governor's odds had widened to +4000 before he dropped out.
What Are the Odds of Trump Winning in Ohio?
Betting sites are yet to provide their odds on individual states for the 2024 election but the odds usually follow the polls. A November 2022 poll found the ex-president led Biden by 18 points. So confident was one UK sportsbook that Trump would win Ohio in 2020 that the book pulled its odds before the vote. It was implied Trump had a 66.6% chance of winning Ohio then, and those odds of -200 look reasonable for 2024 too. It's worth noting, Ohio sportsbook promos will not be available for any Trump 2024 odds.
Trump Presidential Odds FAQs
Donald Trump is running for president in 2024 and is polling well ahead of Kamala Harris. He has been confirmed as the Republican party's candidate after the GOP convention in Milwaukee in July.
Trump's presidential odds currently sit at -200, which represents a 66.7% probability.
TBD. Donald Trump and Joe Biden agreed to two debates, with the first already taking place last month. The second was set to take place in September.
Donald Trump is favorite to win the 2024 US election at odds of -200, which carry a 66.7% implied probability.
J.D. Vance will be Trump's running mate. Mike Pence will not serve as Trump's vice president again after doing so during Trump's first term.
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The experts at BetOhio who bring you the latest updates in Ohio sports betting. We pull together decades of experience to give you analysis as well as comparisons of the best OH online gambling apps.
