Is Ohio A Swing State For 2024 Presidential Election?

With all eyes set on March Madness and each day checked off the calendar anxiously waiting for the Ohio State football Spring game on Saturday, April 15 (noon), the Buckeye State for one day will turn its focus to the Ohio Primary on Tuesday, March 19. 

The Buckeye State will hold a mixed primary where unaffiliated voters can choose to vote in either primary or voters can switch registration on the day of voting. There are 127 Democrat delegates, along with 79 Republican delegates up for grabs. 

Ahead of the Primary, - your home to Ohio sports betting - took a look at how the state has voted in past presidential elections to get a sense of where things stand in 2024.

Here are the nuggets.

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Is Ohio a Red or Blue State 2024?

Utilizing the average results of three current polls for the 2024 Presidential Election, developed the following odds of how the state will vote in 2024. The 3 polls were “Franklin & Marshall,” “Bloomberg / Morning Consult” and “Susquehanna Polling.” 

Party Odds Pct. Chance
Democrat (Blue) +11546.5%
Republican (Red) -115 53.4%

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Recent Ohio Voting In Presidential Elections

Election YearDemocratic Candidate Republican Candidate
2020 Joe Biden (45.2%)Donald Trump (53.3%)
2016 Hillary Clinton (43.2%) Donald Trump (51.3%)
2012Barack Obama (50.7%) Mitt Romney (47.7%)
2008 Barack Obama (51.5%) John McCain (46.9%)
2004 John Kerry (48.7%)George W. Bush (50.8%)

Ohio Voting Trends to be Watch

Just a reminder that there is no political betting allowed in any of the 50 states, but Ohio once again will be that bell-wethered state that could go to either party as voters head to the ballot box come November. You also can keep tabs on Donald Trump's odds here at in the meantime.

In 2020, then-President Trump defended his state title by defeating Joe Biden by a solid margin of 53.3% to 45.2%. Four years earlier, Trump upended Hillary Clinton, 51.3% to 43.2%, in Ohio. In the two previous elections before that, Barack Obama also had over 50% of the vote to win the state in 2008 and 2012. 

With our recent poll data, it appears Ohio will stay Republican red as they are the favorite at -115 (53.4%) to Democrat blue +115 (46.5%).  

Some key Ohio voting trends to be watchful of come the fall:

Between 2000 and 2020, Ohio voted for the winning presidential candidate a strong 88.3% of the time. Since 2000, Ohio has voted Democratic just 33.3% and Republican 66.7% of the time. 

Either way, just make sure you vote!

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Lou Monaco

Lou Monaco had been East Coast Scene columnist for Gaming Today in Las Vegas since June 2019, covering the East Coast sportsbook scene with emphasis on NJ and PA. He also currently is a part-time writer for the high school sports department for NJ Advanced Media ( in Iselin, NJ. Lou has over 30 years sports experience with previous stints at ESPN SportsTicker, Daily Racing Form and Oddschecker.

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